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Every day, the latest polls are added to the average. The map below shows how votes cast in this race compare with votes cast in the 2020 presidential election in the same area. More independents in the Emerson poll, Holloway said, plan to vote in the Republican primary than the Democratic primary. Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. , Greg Landsman, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios First Congressional District. , Gov. As we get closer towards the election, we use a higher sample size, which allows our margin of error to become smaller.. Governor", "Pike County Republicans endorse DeWine-Husted ticket", "Rennaci/Knopp Campaign Momentum Continues with First Wave of Endorsements", "Renacci/Knopp Release Names of 50 New Endorsers", "Brad Parscale advising potential primary challenger to Ohio's Republican governor", "Renacci gets endorsement from GOP in Ohio's second-most-populous county, shocks DeWine", "Renacci wins more endorsements in challenge of Mike DeWine", "Ohio Value Voters endorses Renacci for governor based on plan to overhaul education", "Jim Renacci for Governor of Ohio | Stand for Health Freedom", "FILINGS FOR THE 2022 PRIMARY ELECTION RELEASED", "Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley is running to be the Democratic nominee for Ohio governor", "Ohio governor's race: Cranley selects Sen. Teresa Fedor, Whaley picks Cheryl Stephens as running mates", "Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley: 'Of course' I'm running for governor", "Ted Williams, the man with a 'Golden Voice,' retracts his bid for Ohio governor", "5 more Democratic presidential hopefuls who may have other ambitions", "Tim Ryan expected to seek Ohio Senate seat", "Akron Rep. Emilia Sykes enters race for competitive 13th Congressional District", "John Cranley in the Democratic primary for Ohio governor: endorsement editorial", "Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown endorses Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley for governor", "Nan Whaley endorsed for Ohio governor by more than half of Democratic state lawmakers", "Ohio mayors are picking sides in Dem primary for governor: Nan Whaley or John Cranley", "Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley announces run for governor", ". Ohio Gov. Virginias Seventh District is one of three races in the state that could offer an early sign of whether the Democrats can retain control of the House. These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022, Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, a Democrat, won a tough re-election race against her Republican rival, Tudor Dixon. To retain control of the House, Democrats must win 46 of these seats (after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily). Abortion rights were put to the test in the midterm elections. The field includes three Republicans and two. Mike DeWine holds a big lead over Democrat Nan Whaley. , Susie Lee, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas Third Congressional District. Mike DeWine. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. For direct links to gubernatorial polling detail in each state, see this map . Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. Both counties swung over 25 points in 2020 from 2012 when Obama won the state thanks to his margins in counties like these. Latest Governor Polls. His streak continued by covering both the 2012 Republican . https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-ohio-governor.html. Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Seventh Congressional District. Ohio's Redistricting Process Has Been a Roller Coaster By Nathaniel Rakich and Tony Chow Filed under Redistricting Jan. 27, 2022 36 States Are Electing Governors This Year. Source: Marist Poll Ohio Registered Voters. Maggie Astor (Screenshot/Trafalgar Group) The poll has a margin of. Election for the governorship of the U.S. state of Ohio. Map 1: Selected recent Ohio elections by 2010s congressional districts. , Tina Kotek, a Democrat, fended off two well-funded challengers in the race for governor of Oregon. In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. Heres where we think votes remain. Nvidia Stock Forecast 2023: Will NVIDIA Reach $1000? Its giving Yesli Vega, the Republican candidate, an edge over incumbent Abigail Spanberger, though this could be temporary. For most polls, you can read the margin of error (MoE) like this: If the poll were to be done again 100 This is powered by a broad coalition with an iron grip on Republicans, a majority of Independents, and double-digit support with Democrats, even among those who have voted, Rudnick said. Premium Powerups Explore Gaming . 0 coins. Ohio Decides - Election Night Results, Ohio Secretary of State (https://liveresults.ohiosos.gov/) (accessed 6 May 2022); Source for Population data: U.S. Census Bureau. . Seth Magaziner, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Rhode Islands Second Congressional District. Sixteen months after Donald Trump supporters stormed Capitol Hill to try to stop the certification of Joe Biden as president, a prominent election denier in Pennsylvania inched closer to becoming the next governor of Pennsylvania. Though more than 38,000 Ohioans have died of COVID-19, the state currently ranks 23rd in COVID-19 deaths per capita and 40th in the country in COVID-19 cases per capita. . , Frank J. Mrvan, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Indianas First Congressional District. Voters in Kentucky will decide whether to approve an amendment that would reject abortion rights in the State Constitution. The 2022 Elections in Ohio. The 2022 Ohio gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Ohio. Lauren Leatherby 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 All 15 Ohio seats to the United States House of Representatives Majority party Minority party Party Republican Democratic Last election 12 4 Seats won 10 5 Seat change 2 1 Popular vote 2,318,993 1,790,614 Percentage 56.43% 43.57% Swing 0.03% 1.02% Republican 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Democratic 50 . Nov. 9, 2022, Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. Colorados Third District is leaning toward Lauren Boebert, an ardent supporter of Donald Trump, according to our estimates. IE 11 is not supported. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Ohio Governor Solid Republican Last updated Nov. 3, 2022, 7:29 p.m. PDT Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter GOP Gov. In the Democratic race, John Cranley and Nan Whaley old friends and former big-city mayors fight for their partys nomination. Ohio Governor Polls (Average of last 3 Polls): Nan Whaley: 36.6%, Mike DeWine: 58.6%.Latest Ohio Governor Polls: Nan Whaley: 34%, Mike DeWine: 59%. ", "Emily's List endorses Nan Whaley in race for Ohio governor", "Matriots PAC endorses Nan Whaley in race for Ohio governor", "Ohio Democrats choose not to endorse for governor. , Yadira Caraveo, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Colorados Eighth Congressional District. NYT Graphics 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. Mike DeWine will be the nominee facing former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley. COVID . Arizonas closely watched races for Senate and governor remained too close to call in the state, where 400,000 ballots in Maricopa County await counting. Georgias Senate race might culminate in a runoff election on Dec. 6 if no candidate receives 50 percent of the vote. What does that mean for John Cranley and Nan Whaley? the results would be within X percentage points of the original. , Eric Sorensen, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Illinoiss 17th Congressional District. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included. The two are still splitting the anti-DeWine vote, Holloway noted, which means that voters havent coalesced around one of them over DeWine yet.. Heres what the vote count could look like this year. . John Fetterman defeated the celebrity TV host Dr. Mehmet Oz, flipping Pennsylvanias Senate seat to the Democrats. Governor: Ohio Primary Results 8:43 PM EDT, Thu October 13, 2022 CNN projects that Republican Gov. , Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, defeated Mark Finchem, a G.O.P. 2022 Ohio Governor | 2020: Trump (R) 53.4, Biden (D) 45.2 . Albert Sun So lets say a national poll of a sampling of registered voters, with an MoE of +/- 3, has: You can be 95% certain that a hypothetical poll of all registered U.S. voters Results were weighted by gender, age, education, race and region based on 2020 election turnout. Michiganders are voting on abortion rights. Maggie Astor Nearly 35% of Cygnal poll respondents placed inflation and the cost of living at the top of their issues list, followed by nearly 20% emphasizing abortion and 13% listing jobs and the economy. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. Maggie Astor Nov. 9, 2022, Democrats and Republicans each need to win three more competitive Senate seats to win control of the chamber (in addition to the races they are expected to win most easily). Ohio : Governor : 2022 Polls | FiveThirtyEight The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. Things have changed in this race since when I first rated it. Nov. 10, 2022, Support for the abortion proposal was stronger than support for reelected Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, in 76 of the states 83 counties. In 2020, Virginias early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvanias skewed toward Democrats. Each area's quota and demographic information . Select any location to view all polls and a polling average (where available) for that state. The first polls are closing in Indiana and Kentucky. Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. Your guide to the midterm results, from Times reporters, Democrats held onto or gained trifectas in a number of states and fended off Republican supermajorities in others. Nov. 10, 2022, In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida. Heres who won Alicia Parlapiano The 2022 Ohio Governor Election is scheduled for November 8th, 2022. Americans Last updated Nov. 6, 2022, 9:19 p.m. PST Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter Five governor's races. The 2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Oklahoma.Incumbent Republican Governor Kevin Stitt was re-elected to a second term, defeating his Democratic challenger Joy Hofmeister. Maggie Astor A few of the big statewide races include: Ohio Governor:. Representative Sean Patrick Maloney has conceded defeat to Mike Lawler, a first-term Republican state assemblyman. . I dont think either one of them have done a lot of advertising statewide.. Ohio voters will select a governor, a new U.S. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Conducted from Wednesday to Saturday, a Cygnal survey of 1,510 likely voters in Ohio found Republican J.D. Hes outperforming Biden across the state and is currently up 8 points in counties that were the closest in 2020. , Marc Molinaro, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 19th Congressional District. votes Steve Bellone Bill De Blasio Andrew Cuomo . The Democratic nominee, former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley, is a credible candidate but Whaley needs to pull of a bankshot: Keep Democrats and independents from defecting to DeWine, while also hoping otherwise-enthusiastic Republican base voters leave the governor's race blank. The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information. Mike DeWine prevailed over three opponents in Tuesdays GOP primary. , Mike Lawler, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 17th Congressional District. Lazaro Gamio State Sen. Darren Bailey, a Republican candidate for governor, speaks at a March for Life Chicago and Illinois Right to Life news conference at the Hilton Garden Inn in the South